Facts Interpretations

New York City epidemic: quantifying lockdown effect from simulation… plus some insight on the proportion of infected

A CovModel 1.5 simulation of the Covid-19 epidemic in New York City was run to simulate death incidence up to 13 April 2020. The initial reproduction number was found Ro=3.2. We easily explained a peak in daily death of 670 occuring last Friday 10 April assuming a sharp reduction in R factor happening on 24 […]